Resilient performance comes from strategic planning that considers multiple scenarios and contingency planning that improves preparedness for high-impact disruptive events.

Slowing economic growth in 2016 will increase social pressures on many governments, which could prompt them to make abrupt changes to regulatory, economic, and security policies that would in turn disrupt multinational companies’ business strategies. Rather than risk being caught unaware, multinational executives should view scenario planning as a core competency in navigating the increasing likelihood of downside scenarios.

Our 2016 Events to Watch highlights the key disruptors that FSG believes should be incorporated into scenario planning for 2016, including:

• Schengen border disruption
• Property market collapse in China
• Corruption crackdown in Latin America
• and more…

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