The IMF released their newest edition of its World Economic Outlook, complete with its latest forecasts, in April. Similar to our previous blog post comparing FSG FrontierData forecasts with the IMF’s, FSG’s GDP forecasts lead the IMF’s by four months. The…
By Nicole Goodman & Danyi Yang The credibility of China’s economic data has long been a controversial topic for economists, especially as it pertains to the discrepancies between national numbers and provincial statistics. For example, the official Gross Domestic Product…
In its recent Global Economic Prospects report, the World Bank downgraded its 2015 global GDP forecast to 3.0 percent (from 3.4 percent in June 2014). However, FSG believes that their global forecast of 3.0 percent is still too optimistic, particularly in some key emerging markets. For example,…
Twice a year the IMF publishes global macroeconomic forecasts in their World Economic Outlook (typically in April and October). The most recent release of this database on October 7, 2014 included dramatic downward revisions, especially in Europe, which shocked investors…