Following a contentious presidential election that revealed the stark political polarization in Ecuador, President-elect Lenin Moreno prepares to take office on May 24th. Despite Moreno’s close ties to leftist President Correa and promises to maintain his predecessor’s social welfare spending…
Is Venezuela’s democracy on the verge of dissolution?
This past Wednesday evening, Venezuela’s Supreme Court (Tribunal Supremo de Justicia - TSJ) announced that it will be assuming all functions of congress (National Assembly - AN). This effort to consolidate power in the hands of President Maduro is the…
What to expect from Ecuador’s upcoming elections
Nearly 13 million Ecuadoreans prepare to head to the polls on February 19 to elect a new president, vice president, 137 National Assembly members, and five Andean Parliamentarians. Keeping his promise made last year, leftist President Correa will not be…
Venezuela in 2017: MNCs should prepare for worsening conditions
As we look to 2017, Venezuela will begin its fourth year of economic recession without prospect of a recovery in the short-term. The country will continue to contract until it is able to successfully undergo a political transition and…
Post-Election US Foreign and Domestic Policy: Impact on Latin America
This final report in FSG’s series on the impact of the US presidential election on emerging markets will focus on the effects of certain US foreign and domestic policies as they pertain specifically to Latin America. With regards to foreign policy,…
Clinton vs Trump: The Effect of US Immigration Policy on Latin America
As part of FSG’s series on the impact of the US presidential election, this post will conduct a deep-dive on the impact on immigration, particularly as it pertains to Latin America. Given the likelihood of our four election scenarios, we…
Trade policy after the US election: What should multinationals expect?
As executives create different scenarios for business performance in 2017, understanding the potential currency volatility stemming from the outcome of the US presidential election will be key. Another set of assumptions relates to the evolution of import and export tariffs…