Outlook for North Africa Post Gaddafi

The death of former Libyan ruler Muammar Gaddafi marks the symbolic beginning of a new era in North Africa and transitioning states are keen to attract foreign investment. Companies should avoid being paralyzed by uncertainty, and must begin planning to re-engage and expand in the region to capture medium to long-term opportunities.

Investment opportunities exist across sectors though key considerations differ by country

  • Consumer Goods: Egypt’s market size and strong sector growth, especially in cities, make it an attractive investment, while relative stability in Morocco and Tunisia will support a healthier outlook (see MarketView screenshot above)
  • Industrials: Ongoing public and private investment in oil and gas will support Algeria’s desirability as an investment destination in related sectors. Rebuilding opportunities and an effort to bring oil production back online will mean strong growth in Libya
  • Technology/Telecommunications: Size and growth underpin the outlook in Egypt, where plans could be revisited to become an outsourcing hub, while ICT services make Algeria’s B2B market an attractive investment target
  • Healthcare: Tunisia’s market does not offer robust size or growth, but it is a safe bet due to previous investment in the healthcare sector. Conversely, Libya’s healthcare infrastructure suffers from years of neglect, but the country is a wildcard for future growth due to high GDP per capita among a small population

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